UFC Vegas 106 Picks
Another Saturday night, another slugfest in Sin City. UFC Vegas 106 rolls into the APEX facility in Las Vegas with a card stacked with firepower, rising momentum, and plenty of betting intrigue. Whether you’re in it for the casual chaos or a seasoned bettor double-checking prop plays, let’s dive into the matchups that’ll shake up the rankings, rattle a few chin bones, and potentially pad your wallet.
Main Event: Edson Barboza vs. Lerone Murphy
Veteran warhorse Edson Barboza (24-11) squares off against the undefeated British dynamo Lerone Murphy (13-0-1) in a classic striker’s delight. Barboza, now a staple of post-fight bonus packages, isn’t just threatening with kicks that could fell redwoodshe’s a highlight reel on legs. But age and accumulated war wounds don’t lie. At 38, there are real questions about what Barboza has left in the gas tank.
Murphy has been steadily building momentum, showcasing slick movement, sharp counters, and elite grappling defense. He’s not as flashy, but he’s frustratingly efficient. And most importantly, he hasn’t tasted defeat. This fight will be a litmus test for how far he can ascend in the crowded featherweight division.
Pick: Lerone Murphy by decision (+110) – It’s a tough ask to finish Barboza, even on short notice. But Murphy grinds out a clean, calculated win over three rounds.
Co-Main Event: Khaos Williams vs. Carlston Harris
The welterweight clash between Khaos Williams and Carlston Harris promises violence. No feel-out rounds here. If your popcorn isn’t ready from the opening bell, you’ll miss the fireworks. Williams owns jaw-crunching powerhis last performance a one-punch PSA as to why you protect your chin every second of every round. He’s aggressive, relentless, and has a right hand you could sell at auction.
Carlston Harris brings more variety to the game plan: unorthodox strikes, submission threats, and that sneaky underdog aura. He’s nuanced, but he doesn’t quite have the polish to trust at extended ranges with someone like Khaos.
Pick: Khaos Williams by KO (+160) – The nickname doesn’t lie. Khaos brings the thunder and closes the show before the judges get involved.
Other Main Card Bouts to Watch
Ramiz Brahimaj vs. Themba Gorimbo
This one screams grappling clinic. Brahimaj is a submission-savant; a BJJ technician sculpted for ground warfare. Gorimbo, meanwhile, enters with confidence after his backstory won hearts and his last win earned attention. But sentiment doesn’t stuff takedowns.
Pick: Brahimaj to win by submission (+175) – The jiu-jitsu is next level. If he gets it to the mat, this one ends fast.
Adrian Yanez vs. Vinicius Salvador
Adrian Yanez needs a bounce-back, and Salvador’s frantic style might be exactly what he needs. Yanez’s boxing remains crisp and deliberate, while Salvador’s wild outputs leave gaps a sniper like Yanez can exploit all night.
Pick: Yanez by TKO (-140) – Expect clean counters and a highlight finish. Yanez reintroduces himself in the most violent of fashion.
Angela Hill vs. Luana Pinheiro
Never count Angela “Overkill” Hill out. A volume striker with durability for days and cardio that never fades, Hill is the type to win judges over purely on activity. Pinheiro brings grit and some wrestling chops but can be outpaced if she doesn’t control tempo.
Pick: Angela Hill by decision (+150) – Close, scrappy, and competitive. But the veteran’s rhythm and output squeak her by.
Prelims with Hidden Value
- Oumar Sy (-125) vs. Rodolfo Bellato – Sy is unbeaten and has been steamrolling opposition. Bellato is game, but Sy’s athleticism and control should shine at light heavyweight. Take Sy straight up.
- Melissa Gatto (-135) vs. Tamires Vidal – Gatto has more tools and cleaner technique. Vidal can scrap, but this feels like a technical mismatch. Gatto by decision feels like a high-value play.
Underdog Radar: Victor Martinez (+220) vs. Tom Nolan
It’s never wise to write off a dog at this stage of a Fight Night card, especially one as seasoned as Victor Martinez. While Tom Nolan enters with hype and the sheen of invincibility, Martinez has been in the fire and owns that gritty edge that can upset a rising star not used to adversity.
Longshot Pick: Martinez by decision (+400) – For those looking to sprinkle, there’s value in experience here.
Prop Plays to Consider
- Main Event over 2.5 rounds (-165) – Barboza’s durability and Murphy’s methodical style keep this one on the scorecards.
- Khaos Williams inside the distance (+120) – If he wins, he wins violently.
- Angela Hill total strikes landed (Over 95.5) – The most active striker in women’s MMA history? That line is begging to be hit.
Final Thoughts
UFC Vegas 106 might not have the glitz of a pay-per-view card, but for savvy fans and bettors, it’s a buffet of value, breakout performances, and potential division shifts. From featherweights jostling for rankings to power punchers setting off alarms, this card has the makings of a sleeper hit.
As always, stay sharp, keep those parlays responsibly playful, and rememberwhen it comes to betting UFC Fight Night, the undercard is often where the gems lie. Happy betting and fight on.
